The India Meteorological Department (IMD) predicts above-normal rainfall in September, continuing the trend from August. States like Uttarakhand and Rajasthan may face heavy rains with potential floods and landslides.
IMD predicts above-normal rainfall in September
The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has announced that India to Experience Above-Normal Rainfall in September, following a rainy August. This trend of heavy rain could bring challenges like floods and landslides in some areas, especially in states like Uttarakhand, Rajasthan, Himachal Pradesh, and Punjab.
August’s Rainfall and Temperature Records
In August, India experienced 16% more rainfall than usual, making it the fifth highest in the month since 2001 and the 29th highest since 1901. Despite this, the overall temperature during the month remained high. August recorded the highest average minimum temperature and the fourth-highest average mean temperature since 1901. This unusual situation happened because the rain was not spread out evenly across the country.
Heavy Rainfall in Some Regions
The IMD reported that northwest India received 32% more rainfall than normal in August. This is the second-highest amount of rain the region has seen in August since 2001. However, the southern parts of India saw only about 1% more rainfall than normal. This uneven distribution of rain is why some areas remained hot despite the overall increased rainfall.
What to Expect in September
For September, the IMD predicts that most parts of India will receive above-normal rainfall. However, there are some areas where the rain might be below normal. These areas include north Bihar, northeast Uttar Pradesh, most parts of northeast India, extreme northwest India, and parts of southern India.
The overall monsoon season, which lasts from June to September, is expected to have above-normal rainfall. This is good news for farmers, as it means there will be enough water for their crops. The good rains in August have already helped in the sowing of kharif crops (crops grown in the rainy season), and the total area sown is likely to be higher than normal.
Impact of La Niña
The La Niña weather phenomenon, which often brings cooler and wetter conditions, has not yet formed but is expected to develop by the end of September. However, it won’t have much effect on the current monsoon season as the rains may start to withdraw by then. La Niña usually weakens the northeast monsoon, which brings winter rain to southeast India, but it is too early to predict its impact this year. The IMD will provide more information by the end of September.
Reasons for Heavy Rainfall in August
One of the reasons for the heavy rainfall in August was the formation of six low-pressure systems. Out of these, one developed into a deep depression, and another became a cyclone. Normally, August sees more “break” days, where the monsoon pauses, but this year, those days were missing, leading to more active rainfall days than usual. The last time there were so many active days in August was in 2020 and 2022.
Temperature Forecast for India to Experience Above-Normal Rainfall in September.
For September, the IMD predicts above-normal maximum (day) temperatures for most parts of the country. However, some areas in northwest India, south India, and pockets of east-central India may see normal to below-normal maximum temperatures.
With September expected to bring more rain, it’s important for people in the affected regions to stay alert and be prepared for possible floods and landslides. The IMD will continue to monitor the situation and provide updates as needed. Farmers can look forward to good crop conditions, but they should also keep an eye on weather forecasts to plan their activities accordingly.
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